Drug-Stocks im Aufwind
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Eröffnet am: | 10.02.13 14:42 | von: SherlockHolm. | Anzahl Beiträge: | 4.987 |
Neuester Beitrag: | 03.03.24 15:26 | von: rolliv | Leser gesamt: | 385.031 |
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viel tiefer gehts wohl nicht mehr
allerdings glaub ich das wir am nächsten handelstag noch mal die 0,0048 sehen
die EMA 100 weiter ausser gefahr, long alles im lot.
MACD bewegte ich heute nicht mehr viel weiter nach unten. das war wohl der tiefpunkt
on balance steigt weiter es wird mehr investiert als abgezogen, morgen hat man noch einem besseren wert, da der umsatz heut deutlich niedriger war als gestern
doppeltief gut u erkennen, drei candlestick in der mitte eingebettet die herholung von 0,0038 tagesverlauf gestern.
ich bin entspannt und hab doch heut wieder gekauft ;)
meiner meinung nach ist der lurs viel zu niedrig und die short indikatoren sind auch allen down... also wieder rauf und korrigieren ;)
long wie gehabt bullisch
ich hoffe es kommt so, denn wenn ema 20 von ema 50 nach oben abprallt, gibt es einen schnellen run nach oben und der wert korrigiert weiter seinen marktwert mit aussichten auf erfolg
cmf seit gestern auch wiedeer in der aufwärtsbewegung, bedeutet mehr kapital im wert.
bollingerband dürfte nun den tiefpunkt gesehen haben, und könnte auch wieder nach oben ziehen.
Short Term Indicators Average: 40% Sell, zum 22.03. weniger geworden, 60%
Medium Term Indicators Average: 25% Sell, gleich geblieben
Long Term Indicators Average: 67% Buy, auch gleich
Overall Average: 16% Sell, statt 24% sell
die zocker kommen zurück und sehen die chance auf schnelle gewinne von 100-200% oder gar mehr
das ist ja auch tief genug finde ich jetzt ist halt die frage wann das ding wieder in die richtige richtung fliegt mann sollte schon mal wieder die 0,015 sehen dürfen oder
warum?
RSI bei 36 also kurz vorm überverkauft status, der unter 30% liegt
MACD dreht wieder leicht nach oben, nach einem 1 jahrestief
ich kann mir nicht vorstellen das es noch weiter runter geht. passieren kann es
on balance zieht weiter an nach zwei doppeltiefs
es wird also immer mehr geld investiert
ema 100 bisher nur einmal durchbrochen bis auf die ema 200
vllt kommt das noch mal, also im tagesverlauf ein rücksetzer auf die ema 200 was aber wieder fette umsätze nach sich ziehen sollte das diese gekauft wird bei ca 0,0037
wenn der nächst run startet, geht es durch die 0,0015 es wird dort sicher einen kurzen rücksetzer geben, aber mehr auch nicht, bzw wird es bei 0,0014 - 0,00165 sein
bei sehr gute news lage, seh ich schnell die chance auf 0,0352,news abhängig
52 Week High | 0.0620 | |
0.0444 | Price Crosses 9-18 Day Moving Average | |
0.0384 | 38.2% Retracement from 52 Week High | |
14 Day RSI at 80% | 0.0352 | |
0.0311 | 50% Retracement from 52 Week High/Low | |
0.0238 | 38.2% Retracement from 52 Week Low | |
0.0235 | Price Crosses 9-40 Day Moving Average | |
14 Day RSI at 70% | 0.0205 | |
4 Week High 13 Week High | 0.0165 | |
0.0140 | 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 80% | |
0.0127 | 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 70% | |
0.0116 | 38.2% Retracement from 4 Week High | |
0.0114 | Price Crosses 18 Day Moving Average Stalls | |
0.0113 | 3-10-16 Day MACD Moving Average Stalls | |
0.0105 | 38.2% Retracement from 13 Week High | |
0.0102 | 50% Retracement from 4 Week High/Low 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 50% | |
0.0099 | Price Crosses 18 Day Moving Average | |
0.0094 | Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average Stalls | |
0.0092 | Price Crosses 40 Day Moving Average | |
0.0087 | 38.2% Retracement from 4 Week Low 50% Retracement from 13 Week High/Low 14 Day RSI at 50% | |
0.0078 | Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average | |
0.0076 | 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 30% | |
Pivot Point 2nd Level Resistance | 0.0071 | |
0.0068 | 38.2% Retracement from 13 Week Low | |
0.0063 | 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 20% | |
Pivot Point 1st Level Resistance | 0.0060 | |
0.0054 | Pivot Point | |
Current Price | 0.0049 | Current Price |
Medium Term Indicators Average: 50% Sell
Long Term Indicators Average: 67% Buy
Overall Average: 24% Sell, wieder schlechte wegen short indikatoren
wie am 26.03. noch keine änderung nachhaltig
ema 20 weiter im abwärtstrend in richtung ema 50
der trend nach unten schwächt sich merklich ab
das passt auch zur MACD
bollingerband bis 0,0039 offen also mh ich denke im tagesverlauf kommt nochmal leider die 0,0038 welche wieder gekauft wird und dann dreht sie.
cmf mit kleineem rücksetzer, aber nur minimal, mal schauen was die berechnung mit heut bringt gibt es erst morgen.
ich denke die zocker kommen zurück und schnuppern morgen luft :)
Nix desto trotz werde ich am Dienstag versuchen ein paar Teile auf 0,0042$ abzugreifen. Die derzeitige Kapitalbeschaffung (Dilution) sind lediglich Ausgaben/Kosten der Zulassung - nur meine Meinung...
Schönes Osterfest!
allerdings sehe ich noch nicht den macd drehend und erwarte daher kein kaufsignal
( sofern man bei penny's davon reden kann)
weiter so - und besten dank
machst du doch auch, sonst würdest du nicht sagen können ich leg mich mal bei 0,0042 auf die lauer ;) und warum tust du es gerade jetzt und nicht in drei wochen?? weil glaubst vom chart her könnte der kurs dann zuweit oben stehen ....
aber ich geb dir recht, das natrülich der kurs eher durch dilution und vorallem news beeinflusst wird als durch chart trader, ohne frage
bei ihub les ich nur mit, mehr nicht, ich schreib dort auch nicht, sind sehr viele deutsche dort, glaub ich auch, aber auch aus anderen ländern
übrigens dilution, mir scheint es als wurde diese durch die blocktrades gut aufgefangen!?
Wie seht ihr das? wenn diese nicht gekommen wären, wäre der kurs gleich bis 0,002 wieder runtergerauscht... die spannend frage, wer war der oder die käufer????
aber wie du dich auf die lauer legst nach dem rücksetzer tun das sicher viele, weil sie davon ausgehen, wenn sie sich den chart anschauen, das die tiefs eventuell schon erreicht sind.
@1234quert, die linien drehen noch nicht, das stimmt, aber schau mal auf die blauen balken... der letzte war kürzer als der zuvor... kann ein zeichen sein das es wieder leicht nach oben geht, ein erstes anzeichen. muss sicher noch über 1-3 tage bestätigt werden.
ich hoffe das war das tief, sonst zieht sich das ganze noch länger hin, bis sie wieder dreht
und gestern ist etwas weniger kapital in die aktie geflossen laut cmf und OBV, aber nicht sehr viel weniger, vor dem langen we nicht anders zu erwarten, bin gespannt ob montag nicht wieder etwas schwung rein kommt. vllt mal eine news zum wochen beginn, als ostergeschenk ;)
wollte nicht noch mal den chart posten :)
wünsche auch allen frohe ostern
I've been doing some DD over the past day on why we are seeing the dilution over the last week. Make no mistake, we are seeing dilution here, but it is for a very good reason.
I poured over every SEC filing from the past year, and it should be mentioned that dilution has been steadily occurring over the past 12 months. In fact, the the A/S has increased twice from 500 milllion on 5/15/2012 to 1 billion on 5/16/2012. Check the filing here.
The next increase from 1 billion to 2 billion occurred on 10/23/2012. You can check the filing here.
While this sounds bad and it does actually reduce the value of the stock in which we hold, it is a necessary evil in order to fund the company through Phase 1 clinical trials.
The deal with Southridge was not necessary to just fund daily operations as the bashers want you to believe. Koos entered a deal with Southridge to put together the IND application and fund Phase 1 Clinical Trials. If he just wanted to fund daily operations, he could have done so by just diluting more shares of stock. The Southridge agreement up until recently has been in place to fund operations for the great scientific team that has been put together over last Summer. Read about it here, here, here, and here.
I think people on this board are confused with the equity agreement with Southridge. Yes, it is for up to $20 million; however, it is a share purchase agreement and Southridge will most likely never loan out the full $20 million. In fact, they are no where close to that amount at the moment. Here is the thing, Southridge can not own more than 9.99% of the O/S during this agreement during the 24 months starting 4/26/2012. THAT is why Koos has been increasing the A/S over the past year. In order for Southridge to be able to purchase more shares, Koos HAS to dilute the O/S. As of 11/30/2012, Southridge had purchased 46.2 million shares per a 13G here. This at the time represented 9.99% of the O/S. That is why you see dilution occurring throughout the month of December 2012. They needed to buffer the owned percentage amount by Southridge. Beneficially, the pps begins to rise at this point, and the dilution provides needed funds to get the IND application ready.
On a side note, an interesting thing happens here in the filings. The SGI Group LLC is compensated 30,303,030 shares. This is a Healthcare Technology Consultation firm. You can check out their website www.sgigroupllc.com. What is VERY interesting about this 13G filing is that is signed by the one and only Wayne Coleson from Vera Group LLC. The filing is here. Now Wayne has an association with SGI Group as a consultant himself, but from what I can tell from their website, he no longer is affiliated at the moment (they have a different venture capital guru). I'm not entirely sure what to think about this, but my gut is telling me that he oversaw what was happening, and decided he wanted a piece of the action himself. I could be way off base here, but why else would someone purchase 100 million shares on the open market of an at the time OTC:Pink company?
Ok, so this brings up back to our current situation. Why is dilution happening again? The O/S has increased from 1.2 billion to around 1.36 billion in the last two weeks as far as we can tell. This makes sense, because Koos needs Southridge to purchase more shares to fund Phase 1 Clinical Trials. Southridge's agreement states that the maximum amount of shares they can purchase at any given time is in the amount of $250K. Contrary to what most people on here think, these are not purchased on the open market. They are purchased directly from BMSN in the form of restricted shares. It is against everyone's best interest for these shares to be purchased at the lowest price possible, except for Southridge. Southridge wants the price as low as possible, but they cannot do anything about it because they are not allowed to short the stock (very smart on Koos' part when entering the agreement). However, due to the necessary dilution on Koos' part to free up wiggle room for Southridge to purchase more shares, panic sellers, and flippers, it has lowered the pps.
There is a lot of math involved here, but let's just say Southridge is going to purchase another $250K worth of shares at .005 pps. That amounts to another 50 million shares that Southridge is going to own very soon (if not already). They already own 46 million shares that we know. Therefore, Koos is probably going to max the amount they can own again to being 9.99% of the current O/S. That means Southridge is probably going to own about 96-135 million shares in the next few days. This number depends on how much Koos had them buy over January to February. I would be suprised, but not shocked if we did not get a 13G filing stating so. Now, by diluting the stock, it has also raised funds for BMSN. If they diluted it to the tune of 100 million (not the 600 million the bashers here want you to believe), that would probably amount to $550K at an average price of .0055. When you add the $250K from Southridge, that is about $800K of fresh funds.
Fresh funds for what? Well, according to Pharmalot here, that could be used to fund Phase 1 Clinical Trials. According to their estimates in 2011, it cost about $22K per patient to fund a Phase 1 Clinical Trial. Let's just say in 2013 that the amount is now $40K per patient. With a trial of 10 patients (as outlined in the BMSN IND), that would amount to $400K in cost for a Phase 1 Trial. Phase 2 and Phase 3 are on a much larger scale, and cost is 10-100 times what a Phase 1 costs. Therefore, that is when someone like PFE would step in if they liked what they saw from the Phase 1. If Phase 1 happens, and it is bad, BMSN will fall off the face of the Earth. However, we are not there, yet. The important thing is that BMSN now has the funds to initiate Phase 1 without big pharma.
Another important point is that there has not been a proxy vote for the increase in A/S over the last year. It is outlined by the SEC filing here. Koos has a majority of the voting power, and therefore, whatever he says goes.
At the moment, I think the dilution is slowing, and will soon come to an end. Anyone worried about the Southridge deal should not be, and I hope this post clarifies that. At most, I think Southridge has purchased around $1-$1.5 million worth of shares over the last year. As outlined in the agreement here there is virtually no way they can max out the $20 million agreement with a 9.99% ownership limit in place unless Koos decides to dilute the A/S to 1.6 trillion. Mark this post, THAT WILL NOT HAPPEN in the next 12 months. Per rule 144 of the SEC, Southridge can not sell thier shares for at least a year after their purchase since BMSN wasn't a fully reporting company at the time. So they will not be "dumping" their shares until at least this Summer when the pps should be much higher.
Understand that no one has been hurt more by this dilution that Koos and their employees. Koos has personally seen his share value drop from a 3% stake in the company to 0.88% stake over a 9 month period. That sucks big time for him, but he wouldn't be doing it if he didn't believe this company was headed for big things.
Also of note, anyone on here claiming that the company and affiliates are diluting and selling their shares because they know the IND is declined is most likely wrong. That would be insider trading, and becoming a fully reporting entity to the SEC is the last thing you want to do if you are doing such illegal activity. It would mean professional suicide for everyone involved, not to mention jail, and hefty fines. If they are doing that, it would be the dumbest thing they could possibly do at the moment. BMSN has been gaining a ton of exposure lately in the investment community and pharma community. This isn't a low level P&D right now. Southridge would absolutely report them, and everyone involved would see serious consequences.
If you gain anything from this post, understand that the dilution we are undergoing is a necessary evil for us to see a higher pps in the near future. Sit back and relax until future notice. If I am wrong in any part of this post, please provide solid evidence, and I will gladly admit I am wrong. Some of this post is speculative in regards to the amount of money being raised, but I feel it is pretty close to reality.
IMO
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=86249710
einfach durch den google translator jagen wer es nicht vertseht, sehr gut zusammen gefasst finde ich
If you read this filing, you will understand that Southridge has little control over when to buy, and at what price they must purchase said shares...IMO.
klingt alles sehr plausible