Local.com aussichtsreich

 

ich schließlich keine 77.800 Stück gekauft. Das war bei ICG Group, zu denen ich hier auf diesem Board auch poste und von denen ich dann in der Spitze 20.000 Stück hatte (jetzt noch 3.000, die ich langfristig zu halten gedenke), nicht anders - auch hier haben die Shortseller lange dagegen gehalten, konnten aber einen Anstieg vom Tiefpunkt von ca. $3,40 (logischerweise habe ich auch bei höheren Kursen gekauft - Schnitt so zwischen $5 und $6, wobei der schwankende Dollarkurs hier noch dazukommt) auf $12 (wo ich überwiegend ausgestiegen bin) nicht verhindern. Das war zwar keine tolle Performance für eine durchschnitlliche Haltedauer von im Schnitt vielleicht ca. 7 Jahren, aber besser als nichts - denn die 11 Jahre seit meinen ersten Käufen waren ja auch nicht die leichtesten.

Das Risiko bei Local Corp schätze ich jetzt allerdings wesentlich höher ein als damals bei ICG Group, aber die Chancen auch. Und da ich nicht den gesamten Erlös aus dem ICG-Group-Verkauf in Local Group investiere habe, hat sich an meiner sicher sehr hohen Risikosituation mit meinem "Spieldepot" nur wenig geändert.  

sollte daher bei Local Corp meines Erachtens nur maximal mit 5% dabei sein.  

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http://www.spreebird.com/  

eine Order zu 1,26 von mir eintraf, den Kurs von 1,258 auf 1,29 gesetzt. Diese unfaire Nummer kenne ich eigentlich nur von den anderen deutschen Börsen, bei Tradegate ist mir das aber neu.

Warum ich unbedingt noch rein wollte, verrate ich Euch später.  

Flankenking increased his ownership to now 78,300 shares through a buy in Germany (over Tradegate), because the Unique Visitors of the Flasgshipsite jumped to more than 27 million in million in May. Togehter with more than 12 milllion from the network was the reach in May first in the history of Local Corp about 40 million Monthly Unique Visitors.  

https://siteanalytics.compete.com/local.com/

Nicht enthalten sind hier zuletzt mehr als 12 Millionen Monthly Unique Visitors aus dem Netzwerk. Und somit gibt es 40 Monthly Unique Visitors für sage und schreibe weniger als 40 Millionen Dollar.  

Local Corp’s (market-cap = 38 million) Flagshipsite development of Unique Visitors:

11/2012: 18,745,842 Monthly Unique Visitors

12/2012: 22,738,206 Monthly Unique Visitors

01/2013: 26,410,927 Monthly Unique Visitors

02/2013: 24,017,605 Monthly Unique Visitors

03/2013: 24,427,755 Monthly Unique Visitors

04/2013: 23,785,928 Monthly Unique Visitors

05/2013: 27,804,187 Monthly Unique Visitors

RANK (BY UVS): 44


COMPARE WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF YELP'S (MARKET-CAP OF 1,920 MILLION) US-UNIQUE VISITORS:

11/2012: 19,358,705 MONTHLY UNIQUE VISITORS

12/2012: 21,017,483 MONTHLY UNIQUE VISITORS

01/2013: 22,293,301 MONTHLY UNIQUE VISITORS

02/2013: 21,063,155 MONTHLY UNIQUE VISITORS

03/2013: 23,364,095 MONTHLY UNIQUE VISITORS

04/2013: 22,252,993 MONTHLY UNIQUE VISITORS

05/2013: 22,550,797 Monthly Unique Visitors

RANK (BY UVS): 53  

dagegen - gut für alle Investoren, die noch zu günstigen Preisen rein wollen. Lange werden die günstigen Preisen angesichts der Fundamentals aber meiner Ansicht nach nicht anhalten.  

Hallo Libuda,
lese hier schon seit langer Zeit mit und stocke immer mal wieder auf.
Ich habe mich heute angemeldet,
damit Du auch meine Anteile, die für viele Jahre in festen Händen sein werden,
mit hinzurechnen kannst.
Die 1000 Stück über Tradegate waren meine.
Ich besitze nicht viele,
aber mit den heutigen 1000 Stück immerhin 11.500.

Charttechnisch baut sich gerade viel Druck nach oben auf.
Und fundamental ist Local.corp sowieso weit unter Wert.

Meine Anteile werde ich nicht unter 10 Dollar verkaufen.
Definitiv.
Auch ich rechne mit einer Übernahme für sehr viel Geld,
früher oder später.

Grüße
Zeitverdiener - denn Zeit ist Geld.  

Monthly Unique Visitors will increase after my estimate to about 120 million in Q2/2013 - an increase of more than 10% against the about 106 million in Q1/2013.

The math is very simple, because we know the monthly unique visitors of two from three months of Q2/2013:

04/2013: 23,785,928 Monthly Unique Visitors

05/2013: 27,804,187 Monthly Unique Visitors

If we now take the averarge of this two months in June

06/2013: 25,800,000 Monthly Unique Vistors (very conserative estimate)

That are together 77.4 million Monthly Unique Visitors from the Flagship-Site of Local Corp in Q2/2013.

In Q1/2013 had Local Corp reported about more than 12 million every month - and Local Corp has expanded the network strong in last time and my estimate for Q2/2013 is 13 million from the network ervery month = 39 million from the network in Q2/2013 (very conserative estimate).

If we now add the 77,4 million from the flagshipsite and the 39 million from the network = 116.4 million Monthly Unique Visitors of Local Corp in Q2/2013 by a very conserative estimate and a reach of near 120 million by a more optimistic view (for example by an estimate of same Monthly Unique Visitors on the flagshipsite in June like in May).
The math is very simple, because we know the monthly unique visitors of two from three months of Q2/2013:

04/2013: 23,785,928 Monthly Unique Visitors

05/2013: 27,804,187 Monthly Unique Visitors

If we now take the averarge of this two months in June

06/2013: 25,800,000 Monthly Unique Vistors (very conserative estimate)

That are together 77.4 million Monthly Unique Visitors from the Flagship-Site of Local Corp in Q2/2013.

In Q1/2013 had Local Corp reported about more than 12 million every month - and Local Corp has expanded the network strong in last time and my estimate for Q2/2013 is 13 million from the network ervery month = 39 million from the network in Q2/2013 (very conserative estimate).

If we now add the 77,4 million from the flagshipsite and the 39 million from the network = 116.4 million Monthly Unique Visitors of Local Corp in Q2/2013 by a very conserative estimate and a reach of near 120 million by a more optimistic view (for example by an estimate of same Monthly Unique Visitors on the flagshipsite in June like in May).  

 

erstanden und war dann relativ schnell bei 1,50 und höher und habe sie dann im Schnitt für 1,50 verkauft.

Denn ich habe ja auch meinen Bestand an Local Corp aufgestockt - und heute bin ich bei sage und schreibe 78.300 Stück angelangt.

Ich halte aber HPI weiterhin für aussichtsreich, denn ich haben mich durch ICG Group und deren Beteiligung Procurian (früher ICG Commerce, die Teile der heutigen HPI besaß - nämlich den Teil, der früher schon HPI hieß und aus dem Zentraleinkauf des Hoechst-Konzerns hervorging) sehr lange (über 10 Jahre) sehr intensiv mit Procurement Outsourcing und Teilen der heutigen HPI beschäftigt. Letztendlich habe ich damals verkauft, weil HPI durch Zukäufe stärker auf Dienstleistungen setzte, während ich lieber eine Verstärkung des strategischen Outsourcing gesehen hätte. Aber angesichts der unglaublich niedrigen Bewertung bietet HPI meines Erachtens große Chancen.  

Extreme idiotic: Yelp has with 22,550,797 Monthly Unique Visitors only 80% of Local Corps 27,804,187 Monthly Unique Visitors, but Yelp has with 1,920 million the 50-fold market-cap of the idiotic low market-cap of Local Corp of only 38 million.  

habe ich doch gesagt,
bei local.corp kommt richtiger Kaufdruck auf.

Kein Wunder bei dieser unterirdischen Bewertung.
Im Peer Group Vergleich müßte diese Aktie eigentlich
eine 4 vor dem Komma haben.

Kommt noch!

Sobald der Markt erkennt,
daß die Planzahlen mit mindestens 5 Mio. Gewinn eingehalten werden,
kommt hier ein Shortsqueeze, der sich gewaschen hat.
Und dieser Shortsqeeze wird danach NICHT mehr auskonsolidiert!

Gruß
Zeitverdiener - denn Geld ist Zeit - und momentan kann man sich
viel Zeit verdienen mit Local.corp  

Local Corp’s development of Unique Visitors on the flagshipsite (Souce: Siteanalytics)

11/2012: 18,745,842 Monthly Unique Visitors

12/2012: 22,738,206 Monthly Unique Visitors

01/2013: 26,410,927 Monthly Unique Visitors

02/2013: 24,017,605 Monthly Unique Visitors

03/2013: 24,427,755 Monthly Unique Visitors

04/2013: 23,785,928 Monthly Unique Visitors

05/2013: 27,804,187 Monthly Unique Visitors

And there are additional more than 12 million Monthly Unique Visitors from the Network, which are not part of the numbers above) = together about 40 million Monthly Unique Visitors in May.

That is RANK (BY UVS) 44 - and I am sure, that not any other US-Company from rank 1 - 100 exist without a market-cap of a quarter billion.

Post other companies in the ranks between 1 - 100 without a market-cap of a quarter billion!

1 Reply to flankenking flankenking flankenking • 22 seconds ago Flag0 users liked this posts users disliked this posts 0 Reply Let us see!  

nachhaltig schafft, dann ist der weg frei bis 2,3. das wär ja mal was...  

 

Was für ein scheiß  

die einsteigen bzw. nachkaufen wollen.  

Goldman Capital Management Inc.(1) 1,367,500 6.0%

The Tail Wind Fund Ltd.(2) 1,616,915 6.6%

All directors and executive officers as a group (8 persons) 1,644,061 6.8%

Vanguard Group Inc 349,347 1.53%

HUDSON BAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP 320,494 1,40%

CALIFORNIA PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT SYSTEM 89,800 0.39%

GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 78,770 0.34%

Flankenking (private investor) 77,800 shares 0.34%

BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP 59,731 shares 0.26%

JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT INC 57,300 shares 0.25%

NATIONAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC owning 53,000 shares 0.23%

Sister Wendy (private investor) 40,000 shares 0.17%

6.0% + 6.6% + 6.8% + 1.53% + 1,40% + 0.39 + 0.34% + 0.34 + 0.26 + 0.25 + 0.23 + 0.17 = 24.31% of outstanding 22.9 million shares. (= bad times for legal shortsellers and not legal naked shortsellers, which exist because SEC and FINRA had never done any control).  

Monthly Unique Visitors will increase after my estimate to about 120 million in Q2/2013 - an increase of more than 10% against the about 106 million in Q1/2013.

The math is very simple, because we know the monthly unique visitors of two from three months of Q2/2013:

04/2013: 23,785,928 Monthly Unique Visitors

05/2013: 27,804,187 Monthly Unique Visitors

If we now take the averarge of this two months in June

06/2013: 25,800,000 Monthly Unique Vistors (very conserative estimate)

That are together 77.4 million Monthly Unique Visitors from the Flagship-Site of Local Corp in Q2/2013.

In Q1/2013 had Local Corp reported about more than 12 million every month - and Local Corp has expanded the network strong in last time and my estimate for Q2/2013 is 13 million from the network ervery month = 39 million from the network in Q2/2013 (very conserative estimate).

If we now add the 77,4 million from the flagshipsite and the 39 million from the network = 116.4 million Monthly Unique Visitors of Local Corp in Q2/2013 by a very conserative estimate and a reach of near 120 million by a more optimistic view (for example by an estimate of same Monthly Unique Visitors on the flagshipsite in June like in May).  

Ebitda will be about 2.5 million in Q2/2013 through higher revenues and cost-reductions,
I am sure after the last numbers.


Lower expenses in Q2 - Q4 than in Q1

"Q1 had a little bit of non-recurring charges, particularly on the sales and marketing line. And so, if you look at our run rate, if you took about $900,000 off of that sales and marketing line for Q1, you’d have a pretty good indicator of where we are now on a run rate basis."

CFO Kragun in last Conference Call (Read the complete transcript direct by Seeking Alpha) Less


That will increase the revenues from 21.755 million in Q1/2013 to about 24 million in Q2/2013

Monthly Unique Visitors will increase after my estimate to about 120 million in Q2/2013 - an increase of more than 10% against the106 million in Q1/2013. The math is very simple, because we know the monthly unique visitors of two from three months of Q2/2013:

04/2013: 23,785,928 Monthly Unique Visitors

05/2013: 27,804,187 Monthly Unique Visitors

If we now take the averarge of this two months in June

06/2013: 25,800,000 Monthly Unique Vistors (very conserative estimate)

That are together 77.4 million Monthly Unique Visitors from the Flagship-Site of Local Corp in Q2/2013.

In Q1/2013 had Local Corp reported about more than 12 million every month - and Local Corp has expanded the network strong in last time and my estimate for Q2/2013 is 13 million from the network ervery month = 39 million from the network in Q2/2013 (very conserative estimate).

If we now add the 77,4 million from the flagshipsite and the 39 million from the network = 116.4 million Monthly Unique Visitors of Local Corp in Q2/2013 by a very conserative estimate and a reach of near 120 million by a more optimistic view (for example by an estimate of same Monthly Unique Visitors on the flagshipsite in June like in May).  

NATIONAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. owning 53,000 shares = 0.23% of the outstanding shares

Owner Name
Date
Shared Held
Change (Shares)
Change(%)
Value(in 1,000s)

NATIONAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.
03/31/2013
53,000
(15,000)
(22.06)
87

Goldman Capital Management Inc.(1) 1,367,500 6.0%

The Tail Wind Fund Ltd.(2) 1,616,915 6.6%

All directors and executive officers as a group (8 persons) 1,644,061 6.8%

Vanguard Group Inc 349,347 1.53%

HUDSON BAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP 320,494 1,40%

CALIFORNIA PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT SYSTEM 89,800 0.39%

GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 78,770 0.34%

Flankenking (private investor) 77,800 shares 0.34%

BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP 59,731 shares 0.26%

JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT INC 57,300 shares 0.25%

NATIONAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. 53,000 shares 0.23%

Sister Wendy (private investor) 40,000 shares 0.17%

6.0% + 6.6% + 6.8% + 1.53% + 1,40% + 0.39% + 0.34% + 0.34% + 0.26% + 0.25% + 0.23% + 0.17 %= 24.31% of outstanding 22.9 million shares. (= bad times for legal shortsellers and not legal naked shortsellers, which exist because SEC and FINRA had never done any control)
Sentiment: