Indikatoren
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| Eröffnet am: | 11.06.04 08:30 | von: Stox Dude | Anzahl Beiträge: | 7 |
| Neuester Beitrag: | 11.06.04 13:59 | von: hotte39 | Leser gesamt: | 6.868 |
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THRUST/TREND MECHANICAL MODEL
-----------------------------
Signal Days Index 06/10 Points Percent
Index Signal Date Elap @Start Close P/L P/L
----- ------ -------- ---- ------- ------- ------- -------
SPX BUY 06/07/04 3 1140.53 1136.47 -4.06 -0.4%
Dow BUY 06/08/04 2 10432.52 10410.10 -22.42 -0.2%
NDX BUY 06/01/04 9 1468.54 1481.27 +12.73 +0.9%
INTERMEDIATE-TERM INDICATORS Dow S&P 500 NDX
----------------------------- -------- -------- --------
PMO Crossover Signal (Price): BUY 14 BUY 15 BUY 16
ITBM Crossover (Breadth)....: BUY 16 BUY 17 BUY 20
ITVM Crossover (Volume).....: BUY 17 BUY 20 BUY 20
Price Momentum Model Signal.: BUY 415 BUY 415 BUY 66
% Stocks Above 200-DMA......: 93% 73% 57%
IT Seasonality..............: Unfavorable until 10/28/04
IT EARLY WARNING INDICATORS Dow S&P 500 NDX
----------------------------- -------- -------- --------
PMO Rising/Falling (Price)..: BUY 16 BUY 20 BUY 20
ITBM Rising/Fall (Breadth)..: BUY 20 BUY 23 BUY 0
ITVM Rising/Fall (Volume)...: BUY 21 BUY 23 BUY 23
SHORT-TERM INDICATORS Dow S&P 500 NDX
----------------------------- -------- -------- --------
PMO Rising/Falling (Price)..: BUY 16 BUY 20 BUY 20
STO-Breadth Rising/Falling..: BUY 0 BUY 0 BUY 0
STO-Volume Rising/Falling...: BUY 0 BUY 0 BUY 0
CVI (Climactic Vol Ind).....: BUY 0 BUY 0 BUY 0
STVO (ST Volume Osc)........: BUY 0 BUY 0 BUY 0
% Stocks Above 20-DMA.......: 93% 77% 69%
ST Seasonality..............: Favorable from 5/27 to 6/4
SENTIMENT INDICATORS
-----------------------------
Fearless Forecasters........: 23% Bulls 36% Bears (6/4)
AAII Investor...............: 55% Bulls 16% Bears (6/9)
Investors Intelligence......: 50% Bulls 20% Bears (6/4)
Short Interest Ratio(May 15): 4.7 (5.0 or greater is bullish.)
Bollinger PVI (OEX).........: 1.02 (2.0 or greater is BUY Signal)
Bollinger PVI (CBOE)........: 1.04 (2.0 or greater is BUY Signal)
Gold (CEF Prem/Discount)....: +14.9% Premium to NAV - Sentiment Bullish
MISCELLANEOUS INDICATORS
-----------------------------
Adv Vol/Decl Vol............: 1.5 (9.0 or greater is very bullish)
10 DMA of Adv/Declines......: 1.17 (2.0 or greater is very bullish)
S&P 5-Day Price Momentum....: +1.8% (+7.5% or greater is very bullish)
Weeks of Member Net Selling.: 1 Wks; Cum Total: -71,187,000 shrs (5/21)
1-Day Arms Index............: 0.84 (2.0 or greater is ST bullish)
10-DMA Arms Index...........: 0.96 (1.5 or greater is IT bullish)
BREADTH INDICATOR ANALYSIS NYSE DOW NYSE(RA) S&P 500
--------------------------- -------- -------- -------- --------
McClellan Oscillator......: +99.09 +80.85 +29.30 +43.00
Net Change..............: +3.50 +10.23 +1.18 +12.85
Summation Index...........: +1507.09 -13.43 +166.26 +187.26
A-D Req'd for N/C McOsi.: +338 ... +338 ...
A-D Req'd for McOsi = 0.: -1644 ... -1644 ...
IT Breadth Momentum Osc...: ... +96.39 +95.83 +98.57
Net Change..............: ... +15.19 +0.64 +4.98
A-D Req'd for Top/Bottom: ... ... +41 ...
A-D Req'd for ITBM = 0..: ... ... -20765 ...
MARKET INDEXES RANKED BY STRENGTH
|-RankChg-| |---- % Price Change ----| Hot/Cold
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group &
Index Rank Day Day 06/10 Day Day YTD Blinkers
-------------- ---- ---- ---- ------ ----- ----- ------ |---------|
Internet Index 1 +1 +17 +0.8% +2% +8% +9% 1 ++ ++ +
Dow Trans 2 +1 +6 -0.1% +2% +7% +1% 1 ++ ++ +
Defense Index 3 +2 +8 +0.6% +3% +8% +4% 1 ++ ++ +
BlueChipTop 10 4 +2 +22 +0.2% +2% +6% +2% 1 ++ ++ +
NASDAQ 100 5 +3 +10 +0.8% +2% +6% +1% 1 ++ ++ +
Natural Gas In 6 -5 -3 +2.0% +2% +4% +7% 2 ++ ++ -
Real Estate iS 7 +10 +39 -0.5% 0% +8% 0% 1 ++ ++ +
Health Payer 8 +2 +4 -0.3% 0% +4% +9% 1 ++ ++ +
Retail Holders 9 +5 +12 +0.3% +1% +6% +4% 1 ++ ++ +
Oil Index 10 -6 -8 +1.1% +1% +3% +9% 2 ++ ++ -
Consumer Non-C 11 -4 -5 -0.2% +1% +4% +9% 2 ++ ++ -
Comp/Tech Indx 12 +11 +8 +0.7% +4% +6% -3% 1 ++ ++ +
Consumer Index 13 -2 -6 +0.2% +1% +4% +5% 2 ++ ++ -
SP SmCap 600 14 +4 +14 +0.1% +2% +6% +5% 1 ++ ++ +
Semiconductor 15 +5 +26 +0.6% +3% +4% -6% 1 ++ ++ +
Services Index 16 +5 -6 +0.3% +2% +4% +1% 1 ++ ++ +
NASDAQ Comp 17 +9 +10 +0.5% +2% +5% 0% 1 ++ ++ +
Chemical DJUS 18 +9 +5 +0.2% +3% +6% -2% 1 ++ ++ +
S&P 500 19 0 -6 +0.5% +2% +4% +2% 1 ++ ++
Technology Ind 20 +2 +5 +0.4% +2% +5% +2% 1 ++ ++ +
Pharmaceutical 21 -8 -17 -0.1% 0% +2% 0% 2 ++ ++ -
Financial iShr 22 +6 +14 -0.3% +1% +5% +2% 1 ++ ++ +
S&P Midcap 400 23 +2 +9 +0.3% +1% +5% +3% 1 ++ ++ +
Healthcare iSh 24 -12 -19 -0.3% 0% +2% +4% 3 +- -+ -
Cyclical Index 25 +8 +5 +0.7% +3% +6% +1% 1 ++ ++ +
Wilshire 5000 26 -2 -10 +0.4% +2% +4% +2% 2 ++ ++ -
Comp Hardware 27 +9 +17 +0.9% +3% +7% 0% 1 ++ ++ +
S&P 100 28 +2 -14 +0.5% +2% +4% +1% 1 ++ ++ +
Banking Index 29 0 +8 +0.5% +1% +5% 0% 1 ++ ++
NYSE Comp 30 +1 -6 +0.5% +2% +4% +1% 1 ++ ++ +
Val Line-A 31 +1 +4 +0.3% +2% +5% +4% 1 ++ ++ +
Dow Ind 32 +2 -15 +0.4% +2% +5% 0% 1 ++ ++ +
Airline Index 33 +7 +14 -4.0% 0% +6% -14% 3 +- -+ +
Dow Util 34 -18 -15 +0.7% 0% +3% +2% 2 ++ ++ -
Russ 2000 35 0 +4 +0.1% +1% +5% +2% 1 ++ ++ +
Housing Index 36 +2 +7 +0.3% +1% +7% +1% 1 ++ ++ +
Comp Software 37 +2 -15 +0.6% +3% +5% -1% 2 ++ +- +
CRB Index 38 -29 -29 -0.1% -1% -1% +6% 6 -- -- -
US Dollar 39 -24 -38 -0.6% 0% -2% +3% 6 -- -- -
Box Maker Indx 40 +4 +2 +0.7% +4% +7% -1% 2 ++ +- +
AMEX 41 0 -8 +0.3% 0% +2% +2% 2 ++ +-
NY Gold 42 -5 -2 +0.3% -1% +1% -7% 3 +- -- -
Telecom Index 43 +3 -9 +0.3% +2% +2% +5% 2 ++ +- +
30-Year Bond 44 -2 -6 +0.1% -1% 0% -2% 3 +- +- -
Oil Service In 45 0 -16 +1.2% +2% +3% +6% 2 ++ +-
Gold Index XAU 46 +1 +3 +1.0% -2% -1% -23% 3 +- -- +
Brokerage Indx 47 +1 -2 -0.7% +1% +1% -4% 3 +- +- +
Biotech Index 48 -5 -17 +0.1% -4% -1% 0% 6 -- -- -
Networking Ind 49 0 -1 +0.4% +3% +5% -3% 2 ++ +-
Silver 50 0 0 +1.8% 0% -3% -4% 3 +- +-
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
Dow Indust BUY 14 +2.2% +2.0% BUY 415 +26.5% +22.7%
S&P 500 BUY 15 +2.4% +1.9% BUY 415 +27.0% +24.7%
S&P 100 BUY 15 +2.6% +2.3% BUY 415 +23.8% +19.8%
NYSE Comp BUY 15 +2.7% +1.9% BUY 415 +32.9% +28.5%
NASDAQ Warn! BUY 16 +3.0% +1.8% SELL 31 +1.0% -5.5%
NASDAQ 100 Ind BUY 16 +3.3% +2.3% BUY 66 0.0% -1.8%
Russ 2000 Warn! BUY 16 +2.4% +0.7% SELL 31 +0.5% -5.8%
Wilshire 5000 BUY 15 +2.3% +1.6% BUY 415 +31.1% +28.0%
Val Line-A BUY 15 +2.3% +1.2% BUY 420 +59.7% +53.0%
S&P Midcap 400 BUY 15 +2.3% +1.2% BUY 414 +41.5% +36.6%
SP SmCap 600 BUY 16 +2.2% +1.0% BUY 414 +48.6% +43.4%
Amer Exch BUY 15 +1.4% +0.5% BUY 415 +50.0% +41.0%
152 BlueChipTo BUY 17 +6.8% +5.0% BUY 3 +0.2% -1.6%
Airline Index Warn! BUY 17 +5.7% -0.1% SELL 41 +8.1% -0.2%
Banking Index Warn! BUY 20 +3.8% +3.2% SELL 31 0.0% -6.6%
Biotech Index SELL 1 0.0% -0.1% SELL 22 +1.1% +1.0%
Box Maker Indx Warn! BUY 15 +3.3% +3.0% SELL 80 +5.1% -1.9%
Brokerage Indx Warn! BUY 16 +2.5% -0.7% SELL 35 +3.7% +0.5%
Chemical DJUS BUY 15 +2.5% +2.2% BUY 447 +22.8% +19.2%
Comp Hardware Warn! BUY 20 +7.0% +6.4% SELL 44 +6.0% -2.3%
Comp Software Warn! BUY 14 +2.7% +1.3% SELL 24 0.0% -5.5%
Comp/Tech Indx Warn! BUY 17 +5.2% +4.7% SELL 91 +2.5% -4.3%
Consumer Index BUY 13 +2.0% +1.6% BUY 405 +16.8% +16.4%
Consumer Non-C BUY 9 +1.2% +0.8% BUY 395 +29.0% +28.1%
Cyclical Index BUY 15 +3.2% +2.7% BUY 414 +55.7% +49.9%
Defense Index BUY 16 +4.3% +4.0% BUY 392 +37.5% +37.1%
Financial iShr Warn! BUY 20 +4.4% +3.3% SELL 34 +1.7% -4.8%
Gold Index XAU Warn! BUY 23 +9.1% +1.1% SELL 57 +16.9% +10.7%
Health Payer BUY 14 +4.0% +1.6% BUY 447 +88.6% +77.3%
Healthcare iSh BUY 9 +1.1% -0.6% BUY 447 +20.9% +17.9%
Housing Index BUY 16 +3.1% +0.0% BUY 3 0.0% -2.9%
Internet Index BUY 16 +4.6% +3.2% BUY 450 +78.8% +73.4%
Natural Gas In BUY 15 +0.4% +0.4% BUY 441 +39.6% +39.0%
Networking Ind BUY 16 +5.0% +3.0% BUY 3 +0.2% -1.7%
Oil Index BUY 8 +0.9% +0.0% BUY 395 +38.3% +35.1%
Oil Service In Warn! BUY 3 +0.7% +0.7% SELL 31 0.0% -3.8%
Pharmaceutical Warn! BUY 8 +1.6% +0.5% SELL 80 +0.6% -5.5%
Real Estate iS BUY 23 +6.8% +5.6% BUY 13 +1.0% -0.1%
Retail Holders BUY 16 +3.7% +2.9% BUY 422 +26.6% +23.8%
Semiconductor BUY 21 +7.8% +4.9% BUY 13 +0.1% -2.6%
Services Index BUY 14 +2.4% +1.6% BUY 401 +26.4% +23.5%
Technology Ind Warn! BUY 16 +3.3% +1.6% SELL 24 0.0% -5.8%
Telecom Index BUY 14 +1.1% +0.6% BUY 405 +43.5% +32.0%
Dow Trans BUY 15 +4.5% +2.9% BUY 3 +1.1% -0.5%
Dow Util BUY 16 +1.0% -0.3% BUY 413 +26.8% +22.1%
Gold Warn! BUY 17 +2.5% +0.0% SELL 34 +1.1% -1.9%
Silver BUY 20 +5.8% -2.1% BUY 14 0.0% -7.4%
CRB Index Warn! SELL 1 +0.1% +0.1% BUY 822 +40.2% +32.7%
30-Year Bond Warn! BUY 21 +1.7% -0.6% SELL 29 +0.6% -0.5%
Dollar Index SELL 22 +2.7% +1.6% SELL 721 +21.8% +18.0%
Markets sind immer noch im Uptrend !
8. *HAHAHA* Kimmy 05.02.04 19:56
Bei 4020 habe ich mir ein paar schöne Wave Calls auf den DAX gekauft. Die bleiben bis 4600 im Depot. Ich wollte mir erst Calls auf Allianz und Münchner Rück zulegen, aber das wäre dann doch etwas gemein *fg*
aus Thread ....
http://www.ariva.de/board/...86-870000&ISPSG=1866685&ISPSS=1086876501
Wir fielen auf 3698 DAX, stiegen kurz wieder an, um dann wieder auf 3709 zu fallen !
Trend Trader haben profitiert, eingefleischte Super Bullen und permanente Besserwisser
wie Du leider nicht ;)
Stox Dude
Wieso gemein Kimmy ?
Allianz fiel vom 01 Februar, also Dein ach so geniales posting, von knapp ueber
100 Euro auf 80 Euro. Wo denkst Du waere Dein genial gemeiner Call heute?
Stox Dude
Vielen Dank im Voraus.
Gruß Hotte